Financial News

  • 30 December 2013, 4:50

Britain's Economy 'Could Overtake Germany'

Britain could overtake Germany to become Europe's largest economy, according to new research by an economic think-tank.

The Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) predicts the UK's GDP will move ahead of France by 2018, then leapfrog Germany by 2030. Douglas McWilliams, the CEBR's chief executive, told The Daily Telegraph that Britain could become even stronger outside the European Union.

"My instinct is that in the short-term, the impact of leaving the EU would undoubtedly be negative," he said.

"My suspicion is that over a 15-year period, it would probably be positive."

But the report says Britain is also forecast to fall behind the accelerating economies of India and Brazil.

The UK's GDP will grow from more than 1.59 trillion in 2013 to 2.6 trillion in 2028, compared with China, which is predicted to be in top position with a GDP of 20.5 trillion, ahead of the US with an estimated 19.7 trillion

Japan will fall from its steady position in the global league of third to fourth by 2028, overtaken by India and followed by Brazil, Germany and the UK.

A treasury spokesperson said Britain's "hard work is paying off" with positive growth and job creation, but warned there is still work to be done.

The spokesperson said: "The economy is growing, the deficit is falling and jobs are being created and while this report is encouraging, the job is not yet done. So the government will go on taking the difficult decisions needed to secure a responsible recovery for all."

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