Financial News

  • 21 January 2013, 7:07

Snow Costs UK Economy '£500m A Day'

Friday's heavy snow could cost the UK economy almost £500m, according to new research by insurance group RSA.

The bad weather continues to engulf the UK, with up to 30cm - or a foot - of snow expected in south Wales.

RSA based its findings on the economic impact of the severe weather conditions in December 2010.

At the time, the Office for National Statistics estimated the snow caused the UK economy to contract by 0.5% in the fourth quarter.

Jon Sellors, RSA's head of research, told Sky News the ongoing weather conditions had impacted businesses, schools and the transport system.

"We estimate that up to a third of the UK's workforce have been unable to get into work, which would cost the economy up to £473m.

"And if the bad weather continues, the economic cost is only going to get higher."

Ross Walker, UK economist at RBS, said there was an "obvious risk" snow would hit growth in the UK.

"This weather comes at a bad time - when the economy is growing at a 1% annual rate, it doesn't take much in any individual quarter to push it backwards," he told Sky News.

But he stressed it was important not to overstate impact of bad weather: "If you get a negative GDP figure because of weather then that is a one-off - it does not represent an underlying economic problem."

It comes amid fears that Britain's economy shrank in the final quarter of the year - with official figures due next Friday.

The industries most likely to be affected by bad weather are construction and retail, Mr Walker added.

At the end of 2010 - when heavy snow fell in some areas of the UK for weeks - construction was down by 3.3%.

"Construction is obviously vulnerable to bad weather, and retail could also get hit," he said.

"Although, if it snows so heavily that you don't go and buy a pair of shoes you want, you will probably go and get them when the weather improves."

But Douglas McWilliams, chief executive of the Centre for Economic and Business Research, said the snow could hit some businesses hard. 

"The economy isn't in great shape, and the retail sector isn't in great shape," he told Sky News.

"So even if in aggregate retailers don't lose out over a two or three month period, cash is king.

"If you lose a day's takings it may be the straw that breaks the camel's back."

The bad weather comes at a testing time for Britain's high streets, following a tough Christmas period.

Official retail figures were worse than expected, showing a 0.3% fall in total sales in December compared with the month before.

Since the start of 2013 three big names - Jessops, HMV and Blockbuster - have already been forced to call in the administrators.

what do you think?

12 comments

robert

5:28pm on 18/1/2013

£500m eh,and i suppose it's labours fault AGAIN.

Score: 11
2 replies

brian foster

5:51pm on 18/1/2013

No not Labours fault as they do not sit at the right hand of God,but UKIP do.

Score: 8

Michael Hawkins

4:57pm on 20/1/2013

Robert Not Labour Had they had anything to do with it, it would cost us at least twice the £500 million They would have signed up to it for the next 15 years

Score: 1

shirley sutton

5:33pm on 18/1/2013

Pathetic country comes to a standstill over snow that they knew was coming! People just use it as an excuse to stay at him or go home early

Score: 11
2 replies

Lorgar Aurelian

6:11pm on 18/1/2013

That's the nail hit on the head there.

Score: 7

movvi

8:22pm on 19/1/2013

Oo-er! It'd have been lovely to "stay at him" on snowday rather than having to go to work!

Score: 1

Andy Sillitoe

6:00pm on 18/1/2013

£500 million that's our petrol up again to pay for the snow just been to the coop and woman had 8 loafs in trolley for god sake where they going into a under ground bunker

Score: 7

ddsk

6:09pm on 18/1/2013

Come on get real ... Snow has been around since the bginning of time . If you don't take this into consideration when putting your business plans together then you do not deserve to be in business. SNOW ....flakes of crystalline water ice that fall from clouds.

Score: 5

James Dalby

6:15pm on 18/1/2013

Another excuse for the coalition to use for not getting the economy moving in the right direction

Score: 9

SagePhotoWorld

6:17pm on 18/1/2013

Unseasonal snow AGAIN? Somebody needs to be sacked!

Score: 6

Robbie369P .

7:14pm on 18/1/2013

No wonder we are in so much trouble if the government are spending £500m per day on snow

Score: 4
1 reply

Michael Hawkins

4:59pm on 20/1/2013

Those Tories will do anything to keep the G&T cold

stevegs850

7:46pm on 18/1/2013

we blame too much or to little rain for higher food prices,and the snow for an increase in prices for most everything else,whats the betting the next high street shop to close blames the snow for poor sales

Score: 2
1 reply

andy johnson

1:19pm on 19/1/2013

cause its to blame lol

Name witheld

7:49pm on 18/1/2013

This comment has been removed for violations of our Terms and Conditions.

Score: 2

Jonathan Goodwin-Self

10:39am on 19/1/2013

The sterling has in 3 weeks dropped 10% against Nearly every currency in the world. And soon it will fall by about 50% and Cameron and Osborne will like it and say its Labour who did it. In 2010 the defecit was 650 billion but now in real terms Osborne has borrowed over 3 trillion so this country will be totally bankrupt by 2015 so all people MUST vote for UKIP

Score: 4

andy johnson

1:18pm on 19/1/2013

wot snow ????????????????

Score: 2

ray atkins

12:56am on 21/1/2013

This comment has been removed for violations of our Terms and Conditions.

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