UK & World News
Western Lifestyle Could Fuel Surge In Global Cancer
Unhealthy Western ways of living could fuel a huge surge in cancer rates around the world, experts have claimed.
A study predicts a more than 75% increase in global cancer by 2030, while the rise in the poorest countries could be above 90%.
The number of people worldwide diagnosed with cancer each year is forecast to swell from 12.7 million in 2008 to 22.2 million within the next 20 years.
The trend is blamed on the spread of Western lifestyles to developing countries, where more people are now eating convenience food, becoming obese, and smoking.
A number of common cancers are linked to unhealthy high-income living, including those affecting the breast, prostate and bowel.
Substantial rises in the incidence of these diseases are likely to offset falling rates of others associated with infections, including cervical and stomach cancers, say researchers.
Scientists based their findings on a snapshot of cancer statistics collected from 184 countries in 2008.
The incidence and death rate estimates were recorded on the Globocan database compiled by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC).
They showed how cancer patterns varied according to four levels of human development, measured on a Human Development Index (HDI) scale.
This information was used to project how the cancer burden was likely to change in 2030, taking into account forecasts of population size, ageing and national development.
The results are published online in the journal The Lancet Oncology.
Study leader Dr Freddie Bray, from the IARC in Lyon, France, said: "Cancer is already the leading cause of death in many high-income countries and is set to become a major cause of morbidity (illness) and mortality in the next decades in every nation of the world.
"This study serves as an important reference point in drawing attention to the need for global action to reduce the increasing burden of cancer."
Poor countries with a low HDI currently experience high rates of infection-linked cancers, such as cervical, stomach and liver cancers, and Kaposi's sarcoma.
But rich countries with a high HDI, like the UK, US, and Australia are more afflicted by cancers associated with smoking, obesity, diet and reproductive risk factors, such as not having children.
In both "high" and "very high" HDI regions four of these cancers - breast, lung, bowel and prostate - now account for over half the total, the study showed.
Almost 40% of global cases of cancer in 2008 occurred in very high HDI countries, even though these regions contained just 15% of the world's population.
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what do you think?
So developing countries have an obesity problem? I'll remember that the next time another charity begging advert comes on.
A very good point. I too find it hard to relate obesity with the stories these charities are always peddling.So many of Africas problems are because of civil wars
Well the medics must be pleased with Europes efforts to convert us all into " Low Development Index " countries.
Really? Maybe if all the company's in the food supply chain stopped pumping our food full of sweeteners and additives for the sake of profit society wouldn't be having this problem. People before profit!!
Well said Barry.Just a waste of the Earth's resources.Still they've been practicing for centuries,so even their incidious methods are REFINED!
I am sure that if a government had the guts to place VAT on unhealthy food to reduce it consumption the objectors would be out in force
So the civilized western world will, eventually, destroy the human race? Suspected it for a while, but always thought it would come from war and weapons of mass destruction not from the life choices we make Indeed we are the planets own cancer....
Thats actually the new burger in mcdonkings"weapon of mass destruction" only fat kids can buy it though
Some good comments already. Definitely due to additives in food. It's not only how we eat but how we run our lives. It's a constant race against time for me and stress of trying to get everything done.
More scaremongering with scientific "predictions" again, I see. Quite frankly, we didn't all die of bird or pig flu, GM foods wasn't an instant-mutation machine and I doubt this will pan out either. Stop living in fear, people...
Dear George,I totally agree with your'stop living in fear' point. The issue for me is that it's all avoidable.The sale and promotion of these 'lifestyles' only benefits those who gain financially from them;and in the meantime their short-term'make a fast buck' attitudes ARE brainwashing poor,powerless groups into believing that there is merit only in following them,and that they are strange indeed if they dare to challenge the view. However,the stress of worrying about it all will kill you quicker than any of it.Cheers.
The words Could, predicts, are likely, snapshot and project tell you exactly what this so called survey is. Guesswork. Now we know where all the global warming boffins went to when their guesswork & computer projections on that myth got found out
saved me typing,well said dave total rubbish when the story starts with could you know its not scientificly backed up
Many countries have their own laboratories to discover a cure for cancer. If all the boffins from all these laboratories got together in just one laboratory, perhaps they would have a better chance of finding a cure and at the same time, it would cost far less.
The most effective way of sorting cancer out is to stop it developing in the first place. If there is proof that some foods / additives cause cancer them ban them from food production - our for fathers did without the so can we
True Ray...and Hello, from a fellow name sake......
what are they saying? you get what you pay for.
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Tripe........as a "Westerner", who isn't on a "High Income"......I live a relatively healthy lifestyle.......Cancer affects anyone, it doesn't discriminate against age, race, class or creed.....maybe these Drama Queens.....sorry "Scientists" should concentrate on finding a cure for this horrible disease rather than scare mongering.........
I Have just a few questions 1 Do many cancers develop in later life ? 2 Do those living in the Developed Western world have a longer life expectancy ? 3 In third world countries how many cancer cases are not diagnosed as sufferers have no access to medical facilities